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Exit polls show narrow 'No' lead in Italian judicial reform referendum

Mar 23rd 2026 · Italy

Three instant polls put the No campaign ahead as turnout nears 58.5%; a confirmed No would halt Giorgia Meloni’s planned reforms of judicial recruitment and governance and pose a major domestic political setback.

  • Instant exit polls for Rai, La7 and Sky put the No camp ahead by about 2 to 4 percentage points, but official counts are still pending.
  • Turnout reached roughly 58.5%, higher than pre-ballot forecasts of low participation.
  • A No result would block proposed constitutional changes to how judges and prosecutors are recruited, governed and disciplined.
  • If confirmed, the outcome would be a political setback for Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and could complicate her plans for an electoral law ahead of next year’s general election.