war

Israeli experts split over scope and duration of operations in southern Lebanon

Senior Israeli analysts disagree on whether operations in southern Lebanon should seek Hezbollah’s elimination or focus on degrading its capabilities and holding a security zone, with the decision shaping how far and how long the IDF might stay.

Apr 1st 2026 · Israel

Insights

  • Debate centers on whether Israel should aim to eliminate Hezbollah as a military force or only degrade its capabilities and push it from the border.
  • Gabi Siboni argues Israel must occupy up to the Litani River and hold territory until Hezbollah no longer functions militarily.
  • Harel Chorev says full destruction of Hezbollah is unrealistic and would require a costly, prolonged operation with heavy casualties.
  • Both analysts agree the Lebanese state and army cannot disarm Hezbollah by force.
  • The chosen end state will determine how long Israeli forces would remain in southern Lebanon.
  • Political moves in Beirut, such as expelling Iran’s ambassador, matter but do not substitute for Israeli military action.