The Digester

Peter Schiff warns US debt could top $50 trillion under Trump

Mar 19th 2026

Economist Peter Schiff says rising rates, war costs and persistent producer inflation could push the official U.S. debt above $50 trillion, even as experts warn hidden liabilities may make the fiscal picture far worse.

  • U.S. national debt has surpassed $39 trillion and rose about $2.8 trillion since Trump took office 14 months ago.
  • Peter Schiff warned the debt could exceed $50 trillion before the end of President Trump's term if current trends continue.
  • Producer Price Index rose 0.7% month over month in February and 3.4% year over year, with core PPI at 3.9%.
  • Rising interest rates, increased defense spending and larger budget deficits are cited as factors that could accelerate debt growth.
  • Economist Kent Smetters says including implicit liabilities like Social Security and Medicare would push U.S. obligations near 300% of GDP.
  • Evercore founder Roger Altman warned that failure to reach a diplomatic solution in the Middle East could trigger a market reset.